Beijing Guoanvs
Pohang Steelers
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 9/15/2026, 12:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pohang Steelers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Beijing Guoan 3-1 Pohang Steelers
Original prediction
Pohang Steelers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 50.5% | 34.4% | -16.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.4% | 27.2% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.83 | 24.1% | 38.4% | 14.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Pohang Steelers
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Pohang Steelers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00