Beijing Guoanvs
Jeonbuk Motors
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 10/27/2026, 12:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Beijing Guoan 2-2 Jeonbuk Motors
Original prediction
Beijing Guoan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 39.7% | 46.7% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.5% | 25.8% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 33.8% | 27.5% | -6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Beijing Guoan
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80