Beijing Guoanvs
Henan Jianye
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 5/23/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Beijing Guoan are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Henan Jianye are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Guoan hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Super League, while Beijing Guoan holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Beijing Guoan
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00