Beijing Guoanvs
Chengdu Better City
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 4/12/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chengdu Better City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Beijing Guoan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chengdu Better City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chengdu Better City hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 66.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Super League, while Chengdu Better City holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chengdu Better City
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Chengdu Better City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60