GGOALVIO

Belgium · Challenger Pro League · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beerschot Wilrijk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Beerschot Wilrijk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Zulte Waregem are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Beerschot Wilrijk hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (61.5 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Challenger Pro League, while Beerschot Wilrijk holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beerschot Wilrijk

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Beerschot Wilrijk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beerschot WilrijkWLDWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Zulte WaregemLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Beerschot WilrijkZulte Waregem
51.1Attack54.2
67.8Defence62.5
62.2Form54.2
61.5Power57.2
1.25xG0.94
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