GGOALVIO

Belgium · Challenger Pro League · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beerschot VA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Beerschot VA 4-2 Patro Eisden

Original prediction

Beerschot VA

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7652.0%49.1%-2.8 pts
Draw3.4426.6%26.1%-0.4 pts
Away4.2621.5%24.7%3.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.1–010%

Predicted outcome

Beerschot VA

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Beerschot VA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beerschot VAWLWDW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Patro EisdenLLWDD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Beerschot VAPatro Eisden
55.6Attack44.4
77.8Defence44.4
66.7Form33.3
65.1Power43.7
1.78xG1.03
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