Beerschot VAvs
Liège
COMPLETEDBelgium · Challenger Pro League · 10/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beerschot VA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 3-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Beerschot VA 5-1 Liège
Original prediction
Beerschot VA
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 17:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 63.9% | 66.8% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.47 | 20.4% | 18.4% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 5.81 | 15.7% | 14.9% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.3–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Beerschot VA
Probability
66.8%
Model confidence
66.8%
Beerschot VA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00