Beerschot VAvs
K. Lierse S.K.
COMPLETEDBelgium · Challenger Pro League · 9/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beerschot VA · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Beerschot VA 3-1 K. Lierse S.K.
Original prediction
Beerschot VA
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.9% | 56.4% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.22 | 21.6% | 23.6% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 5.84 | 15.6% | 20.0% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Beerschot VA
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
Beerschot VA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20