GGOALVIO

England · National League - North · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bedford Town · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Bedford Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Spennymoor Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Spennymoor Town hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the National League - North, while Bedford Town holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bedford Town

Probability

35.2%

Model confidence

14.3%

Bedford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bedford TownLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Spennymoor TownWDWLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Bedford TownSpennymoor Town
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power45.3
1.23xG1.23
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