Bedford Townvs
Spennymoor Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bedford Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bedford Town 3-1 Spennymoor Town
Original prediction
Bedford Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 36.9% | 41.2% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.7% | 25.7% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 36.3% | 33.1% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Bedford Town
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Bedford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00