Bedford Townvs
King's Lynn Town
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Cup · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bedford Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bedford Town 2-1 King's Lynn Town
Original prediction
Bedford Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 06:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.6% | 53.9% | 9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.3% | 23.5% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 28.1% | 22.6% | -5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Bedford Town
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Bedford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60