Bedem Ivankovovs
Dinamo Zagreb
COMPLETEDCroatia · Cup · 9/9/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Zagreb · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-3 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bedem Ivankovo 0-4 Dinamo Zagreb
Original prediction
Dinamo Zagreb
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 40.50 | 2.3% | 21.9% | 19.6 pts |
| Draw | 14.16 | 6.6% | 20.1% | 13.6 pts |
| Away | 1.02 | 91.1% | 57.9% | -33.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-33.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–37%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Zagreb
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
Dinamo Zagreb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.50
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60