GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/22/2025, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Bełchatów are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Znicz Biała Piska are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 36.5-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 18.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

84.6%

Model confidence

84.6%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BełchatówLLLLD

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Znicz Biała PiskaLLWLL

GF 2 · GA 15 · avg 0.40/3.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
BełchatówZnicz Biała Piska
56.9Attack26.5
52.0Defence0.0
54.9Form14.7
54.7Power18.2
3.50xG0.68
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