Bełchatówvs
Ząbkovia Ząbki
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/6/2025, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Bełchatów are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Ząbkovia Ząbki are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60