GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/6/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Bełchatów are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Ząbkovia Ząbki are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

46.6%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BełchatówWLLWD

GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Ząbkovia ZąbkiWWWLW

GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
BełchatówZąbkovia Ząbki
56.9Attack70.6
52.0Defence37.3
54.9Form43.1
54.7Power49.6
2.37xG1.85
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