GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 6/7/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bełchatów are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Wisła Płock II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BełchatówWLWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Wisła Płock IIDDLLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BełchatówWisła Płock II
56.9Attack52.9
52.0Defence43.1
54.9Form42.2
54.7Power47.6
2.16xG1.38
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