Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bełchatów are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Wikielec are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80