Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bełchatów are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Wikielec are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00