Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bełchatów are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Widzew II are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60