Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Bełchatów are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Wasilków are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 31.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
74.7%
Model confidence
74.7%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80