GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 4/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bełchatów are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Warta Sieradz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

49.8%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BełchatówLLWWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Warta SieradzLDWWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
BełchatówWarta Sieradz
56.9Attack42.2
52.0Defence52.9
54.9Form43.1
54.7Power47.4
1.79xG1.10
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