Bełchatówvs
Warta Sieradz
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/8/2023, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bełchatów are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Warta Sieradz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80