GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 4/27/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bełchatów are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Victoria Sulejówek are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

51.3%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BełchatówLDLWW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Victoria SulejówekWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BełchatówVictoria Sulejówek
56.9Attack40.2
52.0Defence52.9
54.9Form40.2
54.7Power46.2
1.80xG1.04
View match centre →