GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/9/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bełchatów are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Unia Skierniewice are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

45.3%

Model confidence

45.3%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BełchatówWDWWW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Unia SkierniewiceWWDWL

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BełchatówUnia Skierniewice
56.9Attack76.5
52.0Defence54.9
54.9Form63.7
54.7Power63.6
1.63xG2.09
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