Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bełchatów are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Swit are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00