Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bełchatów are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Swit are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20