Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bełchatów are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Swit are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60