Bełchatówvs
Stomil Olsztyn
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 5/3/2025, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bełchatów are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Stomil Olsztyn are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.0% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
56.0%
Model confidence
56.0%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20