Bełchatówvs
Sokół Aleksandrów
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/22/2025, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Bełchatów are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sokół Aleksandrów are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 29.0-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 25.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
78.3%
Model confidence
78.3%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20