Bełchatówvs
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 4/19/2025, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Bełchatów are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.0% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
58.0%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60