GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/30/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Bełchatów are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pilica Białobrzegi are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 24.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

83.5%

Model confidence

83.5%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BełchatówWLDDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Pilica BiałobrzegiLWDLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
BełchatówPilica Białobrzegi
56.9Attack29.4
52.0Defence12.7
54.9Form18.6
54.7Power24.0
3.44xG0.72
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