Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Bełchatów are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Łomża are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 31.1-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
55.4%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40