GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/12/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bełchatów are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Olimpia Zambrów are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BełchatówWLWDW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Olimpia ZambrówLDWWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BełchatówOlimpia Zambrów
56.9Attack51.0
52.0Defence52.9
54.9Form39.2
54.7Power47.5
1.79xG1.33
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