GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 5/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Bełchatów are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Olimpia Elbląg are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.2% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

63.2%

Model confidence

63.2%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BełchatówDDLLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Olimpia ElblągLLLWL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BełchatówOlimpia Elbląg
56.9Attack42.2
52.0Defence37.3
54.9Form34.3
54.7Power40.2
2.44xG1.08
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