GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 4/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bełchatów are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mławianka Mława are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

54.8%

Model confidence

54.8%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BełchatówWWWLL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Mławianka MławaWDDLL

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
BełchatówMławianka Mława
56.9Attack39.2
52.0Defence50.0
54.9Form38.2
54.7Power43.7
1.92xG1.01
View match centre →