Bełchatówvs
Mławianka Mława
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/23/2024, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bełchatów are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mławianka Mława are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20