GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/16/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bełchatów are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Mławianka Mława are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

54.8%

Model confidence

54.8%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BełchatówDDLLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Mławianka MławaLDWLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BełchatówMławianka Mława
56.9Attack39.2
52.0Defence50.0
54.9Form38.2
54.7Power43.7
1.92xG1.01
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