GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/22/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Bełchatów are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Legionovia Legionowo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 34.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

69.8%

Model confidence

69.8%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BełchatówDWLWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Legionovia LegionowoWLLWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BełchatówLegionovia Legionowo
56.9Attack40.2
52.0Defence30.4
54.9Form26.5
54.7Power34.1
2.75xG1.01
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