Bełchatówvs
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/21/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bełchatów are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lechia T. Mazowiecki hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 18 · GA 7 · avg 3.60/1.40