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Bełchatów logoBełchatówvsLechia T. Mazowiecki logoLechia T. Mazowiecki

COMPLETED

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/29/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bełchatów are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lechia T. Mazowiecki hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BełchatówLDLLW

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Lechia T. MazowieckiDDLDL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BełchatówLechia T. Mazowiecki
56.9Attack100.0
52.0Defence33.3
54.9Form100.0
54.7Power80.3
1.80xG1.59
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