GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/4/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bełchatów are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lechia T. Mazowiecki hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BełchatówLWDWL

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Lechia T. MazowieckiLDDWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
BełchatówLechia T. Mazowiecki
56.9Attack100.0
52.0Defence33.3
54.9Form100.0
54.7Power80.3
1.80xG1.59
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