Bełchatówvs
Jagiellonia II
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/21/2024, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bełchatów are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.1% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00