GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/19/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Bełchatów are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WWLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Concordia Elbląg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 30.4-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 24.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.9% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

79.9%

Model confidence

79.9%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BełchatówWWLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.75/2.25

BTTS 1/4O2.5 3/4
Concordia ElblągDWWDL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BełchatówConcordia Elbląg
56.9Attack36.3
52.0Defence3.9
54.9Form29.4
54.7Power24.3
3.42xG0.89
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