GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/9/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bełchatów are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Broń Radom are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

47.3%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BełchatówDDLWL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Broń RadomDLLDL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BełchatówBroń Radom
56.9Attack38.2
52.0Defence57.8
54.9Form47.1
54.7Power49.1
1.59xG1.00
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