GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/26/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bełchatów are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Broń Radom are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

47.3%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BełchatówWWDWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Broń RadomWWLWL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BełchatówBroń Radom
56.9Attack38.2
52.0Defence57.8
54.9Form47.1
54.7Power49.1
1.59xG1.00
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