GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/2/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bełchatów are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Broń Radom are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

47.3%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BełchatówLLWLW

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Broń RadomWWWWD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BełchatówBroń Radom
56.9Attack38.2
52.0Defence57.8
54.9Form47.1
54.7Power49.1
1.59xG1.00
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