GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/11/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Beaconsfield Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Winchester City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winchester City

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beaconsfield TownLWLLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Winchester CityWLDLD

GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Beaconsfield TownWinchester City
50.0Attack50.0
38.1Defence46.8
38.1Form45.2
44.0Power48.2
1.70xG1.74
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