GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/26/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beaconsfield Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Beaconsfield Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tiverton Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Tiverton Town hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Beaconsfield Town holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beaconsfield Town

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

Beaconsfield Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beaconsfield TownLDLDW

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Tiverton TownWLLDL

GF 13 · GA 16 · avg 2.60/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Beaconsfield TownTiverton Town
50.0Attack50.8
38.1Defence41.3
38.1Form41.3
44.0Power46.1
1.90xG1.75
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