GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/23/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sholing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Beaconsfield Town are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Sholing are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 39.3-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Sholing holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sholing

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Sholing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beaconsfield TownDLLLL

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SholingLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Beaconsfield TownSholing
50.0Attack33.3
38.1Defence100.0
38.1Form100.0
44.0Power83.3
1.33xG1.82
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