GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/20/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salisbury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Beaconsfield Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Salisbury are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Salisbury hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salisbury

Probability

54.2%

Model confidence

54.2%

Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beaconsfield TownWLLLD

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SalisburyLWDDL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Beaconsfield TownSalisbury
50.0Attack55.6
38.1Defence63.5
38.1Form62.7
44.0Power62.5
1.12xG2.01
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