GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/4/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Beaconsfield Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Poole Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beaconsfield TownWLLWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Poole TownLLWLW

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Beaconsfield TownPoole Town
50.0Attack33.3
38.1Defence66.7
38.1Form50.0
44.0Power53.0
1.49xG1.66
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