GGOALVIO

Beaconsfield Town logoBeaconsfield TownvsMerthyr Town logoMerthyr Town

COMPLETED

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Beaconsfield Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

54.4%

Model confidence

54.4%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beaconsfield TownDWWLW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Merthyr TownW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Beaconsfield TownMerthyr Town
50.0Attack67.5
38.1Defence53.2
38.1Form53.2
44.0Power57.2
1.47xG2.40
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